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Are the interests of Morocco threatened if the extreme right wins the presidential election in France?
The presidential debate between the two rounds in France is scheduled for this Wednesday, April 20 between the two candidates for the Presidential 2022, Emmanuel Macron, current President of the French Republic, of the party of the Republic on the move (LREM), and Marine Le Pen, of the National Rally (RN).
According to polls carried out by several media in France, the outgoing president, Emmanuel Macron would be ahead of Marine Le Pen. But the leader of the far-right party is not so far from her competitor and could become the next President of the French Republic.
That said, the ideas of Marine Le Pen and her party are clear about several issues that affect immigration or religion. In her program and on immigration issues, Marine Le Pen promises several measures, in particular initiating a referendum on immigration, ending family reunification, reserving social assistance for French people, and conditioning to 5 years of work in France. access to solidarity benefits.
It also promises to ensure the national priority of access to social housing and employment, the systematic expulsion of illegal immigrants, delinquents and foreign criminals in addition to the ban on wearing the veil in public spaces.
In Morocco, the fear of the rise of the far right in France, a country with which Morocco has solid and historic relations, is felt, especially among citizens who are used to spending their holidays in France. . The question that arises is whether the probable victory of Marine Le Pen would threaten the interests of the Kingdom.
Joined by MoroccoLatestNews UK on this subject, Ahmed Bouz, political scientist and professor of constitutional law at the Faculty of Legal, Economic and Social Sciences of Souissi-Rabat, believes that there will not be a great impact for Morocco, even if Marine Le Pen accedes in power, for several reasons.
“The question of the interests of Morocco and certain Maghreb countries with France is often raised on the eve of each presidential election. It was also raised in the early 1980s with the rise of the socialists, notably François Mitterrand, or the question of human rights“recalls the political scientist.
Function can change people and policies
For this constitutional law expert, “Morocco has always had a special vision and relationship with the scene and the French political class or even certain individuals. The Kingdom has always adapted to the political changes taking place in France. We can therefore conclude that Morocco, through its political power, has this experience and this know-how to adapt to the alternation and changes that are happening in French political life.“.
Now, will French foreign policy, if Marine Le Pen wins, see a big change especially with regard to its interaction with the fluctuations at the level of the majority and also at the level of the presidency? Ahmed Bouz believes that, if we eliminate the problem of immigration, which is a problem that does not only concern Morocco, which has a large community in France, but all the countries of the Maghreb (Algeria, Tunisia) or even the Turkey and other countries,function can change people and policies“.
“Will Marine Le Pen, leader of the RN, which is a far-right party and which has a particular approach to the other, be the same as president? This is a fundamental question that must be asked. Most of the time, the parties that have the same ideology as the RN, when they come to power, they are faced with reality, challenges and international data, which require them to keep a distance between these policies and the partisan choices to align with French national interests“, observes Ahmed Bouz.
These French national interests, continues the political scientist, generally oppose Moroccan policy as they oppose the policies of other countries, which is why he believes that the rise of Marine Le Pen to power will not bring about a change fundamental as regards the management of relations with Morocco and a certain number of countries. “We must stop comparing Moroccan-French policy today from the same point of view as that of a distant era when Morocco was more or less identical to French policy.he says.
“Today, Morocco’s foreign policy has been completely renovated. The Kingdom has diversified its partners to avoid putting all its eggs in the French basket. Today, the Kingdom has relations with the USA, Spain, Israel and other countries. This allows him to more or less lessen the impact of the supposed effects in the event that Marine Le Pen comes to power. It remains a possibilityeh,” he said.
Moreover, the political scientist believes that the French today “are tired of the roadblocks put in place against the rise of the extreme right. They are more and more open to the far right, and say to themselves why not give it a political chance”.20
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