OTTAWA, October 15, 2026 — Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal Party continues to hold a substantial lead over the opposition Conservatives, according to a new national opinion poll, even as economic concerns and the cost of living remain central issues for Canadian voters.
According to polling firm Abacus Data, a national survey conducted from October 2 to 13 found that the Liberals maintained a 12-percentage-point lead in federal voting intentions. The findings were published on October 14.
The result suggests that the governing party has retained its electoral advantage despite continuing uncertainty surrounding the Canadian economy and trade relations with the United States.
Carney’s government has sought to emphasize economic growth, investment and affordability, including a recently announced C$2-billion initiative supporting energy-efficient home improvements.
The survey also indicates that public attention to U.S. President Donald Trump and his administration has eased somewhat compared with earlier periods of heightened bilateral tensions.
However, concerns about employment, household expenses and Canada’s economic outlook remain important factors shaping political debate.
For Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, the findings underscore the challenge of translating criticism of the government’s economic record into stronger national electoral support.
The Liberals, meanwhile, face the task of maintaining public confidence as Canadians assess whether federal economic initiatives are delivering measurable improvements in living standards.
The poll represents a snapshot of voter sentiment during the survey period rather than a prediction of the result of a future federal election.
Its findings nevertheless provide an indication of the political environment in which the government and opposition are preparing for the next phase of parliamentary debate.
