A prime minister for the left union and Mélenchon?

In France in each political camp the big maneuvers are largely engaged for the legislative elections in six weeks, which some qualify as the third round and where the winner of the presidential election, Emmanuel Macron plays big. So the parties are getting organized as best they can for the June election.

Many uncertainties remain, however, with regard to the ongoing negotiations both on the side of the “majority” around the re-elected president, and on the left with Jean-Luc Mélenchon in a position of strength and who presents himself as the leader of a Widened popular left union which until yesterday Friday, had still not tuned its violins. On the far right, on the other hand, it will be every man for himself, at least for the first round. Indeed, the National Rally (RN) of Marine Le Pen has ruled out an alliance with Reconquest! no offense to Eric Zemmour’s camp. But it will also be necessary to count on a “fourth block”, that of the abstentionists (28% in the second round of the presidential election). The hypotheses are therefore going well and nothing is settled because everything will depend on the alliances on the right as on the left.

Macron will have to deal with and come to terms with this growing instability that is taking hold in France. If in the June legislative elections the party of Le Pen and that of Jean-Luc Mélenchon were to rally a large number, even a majority of voters, Macron would have to negotiate with a National Assembly which would threaten to paralyze several of his projects and reforms and this scenario is quite likely. In a divided France. Who will agree to govern with Macron in the event of a minority government? Le Pen would gain some legitimacy, but Macron would emerge weakened. As for Mélenchon, a cohabitation with Macron would disappoint many of his die-hard voters.

On the left precisely and while the discussions between the national directions of La France Insoumise (LFI) and Europe Écologie Les Verts (EELV) continued yesterday Friday, with a view to a left-wing union agreement for the June legislative elections, the PS, which said it subscribed to LFI’s proposals, suspended negotiations at the start of the afternoon. Yesterday was therefore a horrible day for the union of the left in view of the legislative elections with this coup de theater despite the fact that in the morning the Socialist Party recorded, in a press release, the progress made since Wednesday, the day when the Socialists and the Insoumis had started the discussions. Indeed, in an internal message which followed the socialist reversal one could read We want to reach an agreement of all the left and environmentalists “, assured the PS. ” But to achieve this, it requires a real shared logic. We must break with any hegemonic logic and accept plurality. At this stage, we have no guarantee. “.

But now with its 22% Jean-Luc Mélenchon in the first round of the presidential election is in a position of strength and it seems that the PS is not in a position to dictate anything to him. During the negotiations, the Insoumis were very demanding in their desire to unite. In addition to the programmatic “markers” – on which “adjustments” were tolerated – the division of constituencies was to be done in proportion to the results of the presidential election and for the Socialists it was only 1.7%. Sad reality for the PS, LFI brought him back to earth by telling him that we could not live on our past forever. The reasons for this divorce, for the time not yet consummated, are “programmatic and electoral”. On the other hand, the Communist Party (PC) calls for this left-wing unity, “Everyone is going there in a spirit of great responsibility while waiting for what the left-wing electorate has expressed” do we emphasize.

It seems that it was mainly the allocation of constituencies that caused this backpedaling of the Socialists, hence a whole collective movement of reprobation François Hollande, the former President of the Republic, or Carole Delga, the President of the Occitanie region. A meeting was held Thursday evening with some 200 socialist candidates, and none had decided to give way to a rebel. In Paris, of the 18 seats to be filled, fifteen would have gone to the Insoumis against one seat for each of the three other left-wing formations… Unacceptable, for the PS which has several outgoing parties. A situation that made Emmanuel Macron cheer up in search of leftist voices. The old and new president joked about a rapprochement between LFI and PS. ” The question for or against Europe is not nothing “, he slipped during a trip to the Hautes-Pyrénées.